FL-8
Republicans are favored, winning in 91 in 100 simulations.
Forecast detail
as of Aug 17, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
Rating
Favors Rep
Win probability
R 91%
Estimated margin
R+14.0
5th–95th interval
R+31.0 to D+3.4
Win probability over time
Dem win probability Rep win probability Tossup band
Polls
Dem-leaning poll Rep-leaning poll current average: R+8.9
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Results | Margin | House adj. | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inquire LLC | Jul 27–Jul 29, 2026 | n/a unknown | Rep 51.0% Dem 42.0% | R+9.0 | — | Source |
| Public Policy Polling | Jul 17–Jul 18, 2026 | 633 rv | Rep 44.0% Dem 35.0% | R+9.0 | R+8.8 R+0.2 lean removed | Source |
Dispatches about this race
No dispatches about this race yet.