House
All 435 districts.
as of Aug 17, 2026, 2:15 AM UTC
House
Democrats favored to control — 94 in 100 simulations.
D 94%
R 6%
† Our simulation carries four of the five correlated error components 538's House model uses; the one we leave out needs data we don't have, which makes this figure slightly firmer than a fuller model's — see Known limitations.
218 = majority
94% Dem control 6% Rep control mean 242.2 Dem-caucus seats Dem-caucus seats per simulated world; dashed line = majority.
435 of 435 districts
| District ▲ | Rating | Win prob. | Margin | Trend | 2024 baseline | Polls | Last poll |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK-1 | Favors Dem | D 72% | D+6.3 | R+2.4 | 8 | Aug 5, 2026 | |
| AL-1 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+47.7 | R+57.0 | 0 | — | |
| AL-2 | Favors Dem | D 94% | D+16.2 | D+9.2 | 2 | Jul 30, 2026 | |
| AL-3 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+25.8 | R+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| AL-4 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+25.7 | R+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| AL-5 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+25.9 | R+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| AL-6 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+31.6 | R+40.8 | 0 | — | |
| AL-7 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+36.7 | D+27.4 | 0 | — | |
| AR-1 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+39.6 | R+48.9 | 0 | — | |
| AR-2 | Favors Rep | R 79% | R+8.4 | R+17.8 | 2 | May 8, 2026 | |
| AR-3 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+22.5 | R+32.0 | 0 | — | |
| AR-4 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+36.5 | R+45.8 | 0 | — | |
| AZ-1 | Favors Dem | D 70% | D+5.3 | R+3.8 | 0 | — | |
| AZ-2 | Tossup | D 51% | D+0.2 | R+9.0 | 1 | Jun 15, 2026 | |
| AZ-3 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+53.6 | D+44.3 | 0 | — | |
| AZ-4 | Favors Dem | D 94% | D+16.5 | D+7.2 | 0 | — | |
| AZ-5 | Favors Rep | R 86% | R+11.4 | R+20.8 | 0 | — | |
| AZ-6 | Favors Dem | D 74% | D+6.5 | R+2.5 | 3 | Jun 11, 2026 | |
| AZ-7 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+36.2 | D+26.8 | 0 | — | |
| AZ-8 | Tossup | R 65% | R+3.8 | R+13.0 | 0 | — | |
| AZ-9 | Favors Rep | R 98% | R+21.4 | R+30.6 | 0 | — | |
| CA-1 | Favors Rep | R 98% | R+21.3 | R+30.6 | 0 | — | |
| CA-2 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+53.1 | D+43.8 | 0 | — | |
| CA-3 | Tossup | R 56% | R+1.5 | R+11.0 | 1 | Jul 10, 2025 | |
| CA-4 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+42.3 | D+33.0 | 0 | — | |
| CA-5 | Favors Rep | R 92% | R+14.4 | R+23.6 | 0 | — | |
| CA-6 | Favors Dem | D 99% | D+24.5 | D+15.2 | 1 | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| CA-7 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+42.9 | D+33.6 | 0 | — | |
| CA-8 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+57.3 | D+48.0 | 0 | — | |
| CA-9 | Favors Dem | D 89% | D+12.9 | D+3.6 | 0 | — | |
| CA-10 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+42.2 | D+33.0 | 0 | — | |
| CA-11 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+71.3 | D+62.0 | 0 | — | |
| CA-12 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+44.3 | D+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| CA-13 | Favors Dem | D 82% | D+9.5 | D+0.1 | 0 | — | |
| CA-14 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+44.9 | D+35.6 | 0 | — | |
| CA-15 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+55.7 | D+46.2 | 0 | — | |
| CA-16 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+44.4 | D+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| CA-17 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+44.7 | D+35.4 | 0 | — | |
| CA-18 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+38.5 | D+29.2 | 0 | — | |
| CA-19 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+47.8 | D+38.6 | 0 | — | |
| CA-20 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+25.6 | R+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| CA-21 | Favors Dem | D 92% | D+14.6 | D+5.2 | 0 | — | |
| CA-22 | Tossup | D 60% | D+2.5 | R+6.8 | 2 | Jun 21, 2026 | |
| CA-23 | Favors Rep | R 85% | R+10.8 | R+20.2 | 0 | — | |
| CA-24 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+34.8 | D+25.4 | 0 | — | |
| CA-25 | Favors Dem | D 98% | D+21.9 | D+12.6 | 0 | — | |
| CA-26 | Favors Dem | D 98% | D+21.5 | D+12.2 | 0 | — | |
| CA-27 | Favors Dem | D 87% | D+11.9 | D+2.6 | 0 | — | |
| CA-28 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+39.3 | D+29.8 | 0 | — | |
| CA-29 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+48.8 | D+39.6 | 0 | — | |
| CA-30 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+46.1 | D+36.8 | 0 | — | |
| CA-31 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+28.7 | D+19.4 | 0 | — | |
| CA-32 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+41.7 | D+32.4 | 0 | — | |
| CA-33 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+27.0 | D+17.6 | 0 | — | |
| CA-34 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+44.2 | D+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| CA-35 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+26.1 | D+16.8 | 0 | — | |
| CA-36 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+46.8 | D+37.4 | 0 | — | |
| CA-37 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+44.4 | D+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| CA-38 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+28.9 | D+19.6 | 0 | — | |
| CA-39 | Favors Dem | D 99% | D+22.8 | D+13.4 | 0 | — | |
| CA-40 | Tossup | R 55% | R+1.2 | R+10.6 | 2 | Jan 19, 2026 | |
| CA-41 | Favors Dem | D 71% | D+5.8 | R+3.4 | 0 | — | |
| CA-42 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+45.5 | D+36.2 | 0 | — | |
| CA-43 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+59.5 | D+50.2 | 0 | — | |
| CA-44 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+52.1 | D+42.8 | 0 | — | |
| CA-45 | Favors Dem | D 82% | D+9.5 | D+0.2 | 0 | — | |
| CA-46 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+36.0 | D+26.8 | 0 | — | |
| CA-47 | Favors Dem | D 88% | D+12.2 | D+2.8 | 0 | — | |
| CA-48 | Favors Rep | R 80% | R+8.7 | R+18.6 | 2 | Jul 14, 2026 | |
| CA-49 | Favors Dem | D 90% | D+13.8 | D+4.4 | 0 | — | |
| CA-50 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+37.9 | D+28.6 | 0 | — | |
| CA-51 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+30.7 | D+21.4 | 0 | — | |
| CA-52 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+41.9 | D+32.6 | 0 | — | |
| CO-1 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+64.4 | D+55.0 | 0 | — | |
| CO-2 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+48.8 | D+39.5 | 0 | — | |
| CO-3 | Tossup | D 64% | D+3.8 | R+5.0 | 3 | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| CO-4 | Tossup | R 59% | R+2.3 | R+11.6 | 0 | — | |
| CO-5 | Favors Rep | R 67% | R+4.4 | R+13.8 | 2 | Jul 21, 2026 | |
| CO-6 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+29.7 | D+20.5 | 0 | — | |
| CO-7 | Favors Dem | D 99% | D+23.5 | D+14.1 | 0 | — | |
| CO-8 | Favors Dem | D 79% | D+8.5 | R+0.8 | 0 | — | |
| CT-1 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+37.5 | D+28.3 | 0 | — | |
| CT-2 | Favors Dem | D 99% | D+25.2 | D+16.0 | 0 | — | |
| CT-3 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+27.0 | D+17.8 | 0 | — | |
| CT-4 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+33.0 | D+23.8 | 0 | — | |
| CT-5 | Favors Dem | D 94% | D+16.1 | D+6.8 | 0 | — | |
| DE-1 | Favors Dem | D 99% | D+25.2 | D+15.8 | 0 | — | |
| FL-1 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+22.7 | R+32.0 | 0 | — | |
| FL-2 | Favors Rep | R 91% | R+13.9 | R+23.2 | 4 | Jul 26, 2026 | |
| FL-3 | Favors Rep | R 91% | R+13.9 | R+23.2 | 0 | — | |
| FL-4 | Favors Rep | R 70% | R+5.5 | R+14.6 | 0 | — | |
| FL-5 | Favors Rep | R 95% | R+17.0 | R+26.2 | 0 | — | |
| FL-6 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+23.7 | R+33.0 | 0 | — | |
| FL-7 | Tossup | R 64% | R+3.6 | R+13.0 | 1 | May 21, 2026 | |
| FL-8 | Favors Rep | R 91% | R+13.8 | R+24.4 | 2 | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| FL-9 | Favors Dem | D 98% | D+21.7 | D+12.5 | 0 | — | |
| FL-10 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+34.0 | D+24.8 | 0 | — | |
| FL-11 | Favors Rep | R 83% | R+10.3 | R+20.8 | 1 | Jul 29, 2026 | |
| FL-12 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+32.0 | R+42.0 | 1 | Jun 27, 2026 | |
| FL-13 | Tossup | R 59% | R+2.2 | R+9.6 | 3 | Aug 6, 2026 | |
| FL-14 | Favors Dem | D 99% | D+24.7 | D+15.3 | 2 | Jul 15, 2026 | |
| FL-15 | Tossup | R 62% | R+3.2 | R+12.4 | 0 | — | |
| FL-16 | Favors Rep | R 83% | R+9.7 | R+19.0 | 0 | — | |
| FL-17 | Favors Rep | R 96% | R+18.4 | R+27.8 | 0 | — | |
| FL-18 | Favors Rep | R 98% | R+21.2 | R+30.6 | 0 | — | |
| FL-19 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+23.2 | R+32.6 | 0 | — | |
| FL-20 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+44.2 | D+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| FL-21 | Favors Rep | R 91% | R+14.2 | R+23.6 | 0 | — | |
| FL-22 | Favors Dem | D 96% | D+18.8 | D+10.0 | 1 | Jun 25, 2026 | |
| FL-23 | Favors Dem | D 91% | D+14.0 | D+4.8 | 0 | — | |
| FL-24 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+45.8 | D+36.4 | 0 | — | |
| FL-25 | Favors Dem | D 96% | D+18.3 | D+9.0 | 4 | May 6, 2026 | |
| FL-26 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+32.5 | R+41.8 | 0 | — | |
| FL-27 | Favors Rep | R 86% | R+11.3 | R+20.8 | 3 | Mar 8, 2026 | |
| FL-28 | Favors Rep | R 97% | R+19.9 | R+29.2 | 1 | Mar 7, 2026 | |
| GA-1 | Favors Rep | R 92% | R+14.8 | R+24.0 | 0 | — | |
| GA-2 | Favors Dem | D 98% | D+21.9 | D+12.6 | 0 | — | |
| GA-3 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+23.3 | R+32.6 | 0 | — | |
| GA-4 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+60.5 | D+51.2 | 0 | — | |
| GA-5 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+80.7 | D+71.4 | 0 | — | |
| GA-6 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+58.8 | D+49.4 | 0 | — | |
| GA-7 | Favors Rep | R 98% | R+20.7 | R+29.8 | 0 | — | |
| GA-8 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+28.4 | R+37.8 | 0 | — | |
| GA-9 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+28.8 | R+38.0 | 0 | — | |
| GA-10 | Favors Rep | R 95% | R+17.0 | R+26.2 | 0 | — | |
| GA-11 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+25.2 | R+34.6 | 0 | — | |
| GA-12 | Favors Rep | R 86% | R+11.2 | R+20.6 | 0 | — | |
| GA-13 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+52.9 | D+43.6 | 0 | — | |
| GA-14 | Favors Rep | R 97% | R+19.5 | R+28.8 | 0 | — | |
| HI-1 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+52.9 | D+43.6 | 0 | — | |
| HI-2 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+45.6 | D+36.3 | 0 | — | |
| IA-1 | Favors Dem | D 80% | D+8.8 | R+0.2 | 2 | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| IA-2 | Favors Rep | R 71% | R+5.8 | R+15.5 | 2 | Jul 19, 2026 | |
| IA-3 | Favors Dem | D 70% | D+5.5 | R+3.8 | 2 | Mar 14, 2026 | |
| IA-4 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+25.1 | R+34.4 | 0 | — | |
| ID-1 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+32.2 | R+45.6 | 4 | Jul 30, 2026 | |
| ID-2 | Favors Rep | R 98% | R+21.1 | R+30.4 | 0 | — | |
| IL-1 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+41.1 | D+31.8 | 0 | — | |
| IL-2 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+44.5 | D+35.2 | 0 | — | |
| IL-3 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+43.7 | D+34.6 | 0 | — | |
| IL-4 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+44.7 | D+40.2 | 1 | Aug 1, 2026 | |
| IL-5 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+47.1 | D+38.0 | 0 | — | |
| IL-6 | Favors Dem | D 95% | D+17.6 | D+8.4 | 0 | — | |
| IL-7 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+75.8 | D+66.6 | 0 | — | |
| IL-8 | Favors Dem | D 99% | D+23.4 | D+14.2 | 0 | — | |
| IL-9 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+46.0 | D+36.8 | 0 | — | |
| IL-10 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+29.4 | D+20.0 | 0 | — | |
| IL-11 | Favors Dem | D 98% | D+20.3 | D+11.2 | 0 | — | |
| IL-12 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+39.1 | R+48.4 | 0 | — | |
| IL-13 | Favors Dem | D 99% | D+25.3 | D+16.2 | 0 | — | |
| IL-14 | Favors Dem | D 97% | D+19.4 | D+10.2 | 0 | — | |
| IL-15 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+25.7 | R+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| IL-16 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+25.8 | R+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| IL-17 | Favors Dem | D 96% | D+18.0 | D+8.8 | 0 | — | |
| IN-1 | Favors Dem | D 95% | D+17.7 | D+8.5 | 0 | — | |
| IN-2 | Favors Rep | R 97% | R+19.0 | R+28.1 | 0 | — | |
| IN-3 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+24.5 | R+33.6 | 0 | — | |
| IN-4 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+24.7 | R+33.9 | 0 | — | |
| IN-5 | Favors Rep | R 80% | R+8.7 | R+18.6 | 1 | Jul 20, 2026 | |
| IN-6 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+23.0 | R+32.2 | 0 | — | |
| IN-7 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+48.7 | D+39.3 | 0 | — | |
| IN-8 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+29.4 | R+38.5 | 0 | — | |
| IN-9 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+22.6 | R+31.7 | 0 | — | |
| KS-1 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+29.0 | R+38.2 | 0 | — | |
| KS-2 | Favors Rep | R 82% | R+9.6 | R+18.9 | 0 | — | |
| KS-3 | Favors Dem | D 97% | D+20.1 | D+10.8 | 0 | — | |
| KS-4 | Favors Rep | R 97% | R+20.7 | R+30.0 | 0 | — | |
| KY-1 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+40.1 | R+49.4 | 0 | — | |
| KY-2 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+37.0 | R+46.2 | 0 | — | |
| KY-3 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+33.2 | D+24.0 | 0 | — | |
| KY-4 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+25.8 | R+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| KY-5 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+25.8 | R+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| KY-6 | Favors Rep | R 96% | R+17.6 | R+26.8 | 5 | Jul 30, 2026 | |
| LA-1 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+40.9 | R+50.1 | 0 | — | |
| LA-2 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+51.1 | D+41.9 | 0 | — | |
| LA-3 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+40.0 | R+49.3 | 0 | — | |
| LA-4 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+25.9 | R+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| LA-5 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+39.0 | R+48.2 | 0 | — | |
| LA-6 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+33.6 | D+24.5 | 0 | — | |
| MA-1 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+44.3 | D+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| MA-2 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+44.3 | D+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| MA-3 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+44.2 | D+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| MA-4 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+44.4 | D+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| MA-5 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+44.3 | D+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| MA-6 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+44.2 | D+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| MA-7 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+44.3 | D+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| MA-8 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+50.3 | D+41.0 | 0 | — | |
| MA-9 | Favors Dem | D 98% | D+22.3 | D+13.0 | 0 | — | |
| MD-1 | Favors Rep | R 89% | R+12.8 | R+22.0 | 0 | — | |
| MD-2 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+28.1 | D+18.7 | 0 | — | |
| MD-3 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+30.8 | D+21.4 | 0 | — | |
| MD-4 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+86.5 | D+77.2 | 0 | — | |
| MD-5 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+45.0 | D+35.8 | 0 | — | |
| MD-6 | Favors Dem | D 93% | D+15.6 | D+6.4 | 0 | — | |
| MD-7 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+72.3 | D+63.1 | 0 | — | |
| MD-8 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+65.7 | D+56.3 | 0 | — | |
| ME-1 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+31.5 | D+22.3 | 0 | — | |
| ME-2 | Favors Dem | D 82% | D+9.8 | D+0.6 | 13 | Jul 16, 2026 | |
| MI-1 | Favors Rep | R 87% | R+12.0 | R+21.2 | 0 | — | |
| MI-2 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+24.0 | R+33.4 | 0 | — | |
| MI-3 | Favors Dem | D 97% | D+19.1 | D+9.9 | 0 | — | |
| MI-4 | Tossup | R 59% | R+2.4 | R+11.7 | 3 | Jun 1, 2026 | |
| MI-5 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+23.6 | R+32.9 | 0 | — | |
| MI-6 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+36.2 | D+27.0 | 0 | — | |
| MI-7 | Favors Dem | D 70% | D+5.5 | R+3.7 | 7 | Jun 30, 2026 | |
| MI-8 | Favors Dem | D 94% | D+15.8 | D+6.6 | 0 | — | |
| MI-9 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+28.0 | R+37.3 | 0 | — | |
| MI-10 | Tossup | D 62% | D+3.1 | R+6.1 | 3 | Jan 17, 2026 | |
| MI-11 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+27.7 | D+18.6 | 0 | — | |
| MI-12 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+53.6 | D+44.3 | 0 | — | |
| MI-13 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+53.3 | D+44.1 | 0 | — | |
| MN-1 | Favors Rep | R 78% | R+7.9 | R+17.0 | 2 | Mar 14, 2026 | |
| MN-2 | Favors Dem | D 99% | D+22.7 | D+13.5 | 3 | Jun 21, 2026 | |
| MN-3 | Favors Dem | D 99% | D+26.1 | D+17.0 | 0 | — | |
| MN-4 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+44.1 | D+34.8 | 0 | — | |
| MN-5 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+59.8 | D+50.4 | 0 | — | |
| MN-6 | Favors Rep | R 93% | R+15.6 | R+25.0 | 0 | — | |
| MN-7 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+31.9 | R+41.0 | 0 | — | |
| MN-8 | Favors Rep | R 73% | R+6.7 | R+16.0 | 0 | — | |
| MO-1 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+66.8 | D+57.5 | 0 | — | |
| MO-2 | Tossup | R 61% | R+2.9 | R+12.0 | 1 | May 31, 2026 | |
| MO-3 | Favors Rep | R 95% | R+16.8 | R+26.0 | 0 | — | |
| MO-4 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+35.6 | R+44.7 | 0 | — | |
| MO-5 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+33.2 | D+23.8 | 0 | — | |
| MO-6 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+34.5 | R+43.8 | 0 | — | |
| MO-7 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+36.0 | R+45.3 | 0 | — | |
| MO-8 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+45.2 | R+54.4 | 0 | — | |
| MS-1 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+30.4 | R+39.6 | 0 | — | |
| MS-2 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+33.2 | D+24.0 | 0 | — | |
| MS-3 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+25.7 | R+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| MS-4 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+38.6 | R+47.9 | 0 | — | |
| MT-1 | Tossup | D 55% | D+1.4 | R+7.7 | 6 | Jun 25, 2026 | |
| MT-2 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+22.8 | R+32.0 | 0 | — | |
| NC-1 | Favors Dem | D 85% | D+10.9 | D+1.7 | 3 | Jun 28, 2026 | |
| NC-2 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+43.9 | D+34.7 | 0 | — | |
| NC-3 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+25.8 | R+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| NC-4 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+55.0 | D+45.7 | 0 | — | |
| NC-5 | Favors Rep | R 82% | R+9.7 | R+19.0 | 0 | — | |
| NC-6 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+25.8 | R+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| NC-7 | Favors Rep | R 78% | R+8.0 | R+17.2 | 0 | — | |
| NC-8 | Favors Rep | R 83% | R+9.9 | R+19.2 | 0 | — | |
| NC-9 | Favors Rep | R 81% | R+9.2 | R+18.5 | 0 | — | |
| NC-10 | Favors Rep | R 83% | R+10.1 | R+19.3 | 1 | Mar 12, 2026 | |
| NC-11 | Favors Rep | R 66% | R+4.4 | R+13.6 | 1 | Dec 17, 2025 | |
| NC-12 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+57.4 | D+48.0 | 0 | — | |
| NC-13 | Favors Rep | R 78% | R+8.1 | R+17.2 | 0 | — | |
| NC-14 | Favors Rep | R 75% | R+7.0 | R+16.2 | 1 | Mar 12, 2026 | |
| ND-1 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+29.7 | R+39.0 | 0 | — | |
| NE-1 | Favors Rep | R 85% | R+11.0 | R+20.2 | 3 | May 19, 2026 | |
| NE-2 | Favors Dem | D 76% | D+7.4 | R+1.8 | 0 | — | |
| NE-3 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+51.7 | R+60.8 | 0 | — | |
| NH-1 | Favors Dem | D 95% | D+17.2 | D+8.0 | 0 | — | |
| NH-2 | Favors Dem | D 93% | D+15.5 | D+6.0 | 6 | Jun 25, 2026 | |
| NJ-1 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+27.0 | D+17.8 | 0 | — | |
| NJ-2 | Favors Rep | R 77% | R+7.7 | R+16.9 | 0 | — | |
| NJ-3 | Favors Dem | D 96% | D+18.0 | D+8.6 | 0 | — | |
| NJ-4 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+26.3 | R+35.7 | 0 | — | |
| NJ-5 | Favors Dem | D 98% | D+20.5 | D+11.3 | 0 | — | |
| NJ-6 | Favors Dem | D 99% | D+25.1 | D+15.8 | 0 | — | |
| NJ-7 | Tossup | D 64% | D+3.7 | R+5.4 | 2 | May 26, 2026 | |
| NJ-8 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+33.9 | D+24.8 | 0 | — | |
| NJ-9 | Favors Dem | D 91% | D+14.2 | D+4.9 | 0 | — | |
| NJ-10 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+61.5 | D+52.2 | 0 | — | |
| NJ-11 | Favors Dem | D 99% | D+24.5 | D+15.3 | 0 | — | |
| NJ-12 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+34.0 | D+24.8 | 0 | — | |
| NM-1 | Favors Dem | D 98% | D+22.1 | D+12.8 | 0 | — | |
| NM-2 | Favors Dem | D 91% | D+13.5 | D+4.2 | 1 | Apr 28, 2026 | |
| NM-3 | Favors Dem | D 98% | D+21.9 | D+12.6 | 0 | — | |
| NV-1 | Favors Dem | D 95% | D+16.8 | D+7.5 | 0 | — | |
| NV-2 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+24.6 | R+35.0 est. | 1 | Jul 12, 2026 | |
| NV-3 | Favors Dem | D 87% | D+11.9 | D+2.8 | 0 | — | |
| NV-4 | Favors Dem | D 95% | D+17.3 | D+8.1 | 0 | — | |
| NY-1 | Tossup | R 55% | R+1.3 | R+10.4 | 1 | Dec 11, 2025 | |
| NY-2 | Favors Rep | R 81% | R+9.2 | R+18.4 | 0 | — | |
| NY-3 | Favors Dem | D 89% | D+12.9 | D+3.6 | 0 | — | |
| NY-4 | Favors Dem | D 86% | D+11.5 | D+2.2 | 0 | — | |
| NY-5 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+55.0 | D+45.8 | 0 | — | |
| NY-6 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+32.3 | D+23.1 | 0 | — | |
| NY-7 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+65.5 | D+56.2 | 0 | — | |
| NY-8 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+60.1 | D+50.8 | 0 | — | |
| NY-9 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+58.0 | D+48.6 | 0 | — | |
| NY-10 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+76.8 | D+67.5 | 0 | — | |
| NY-11 | Favors Rep | R 97% | R+18.9 | R+28.2 | 0 | — | |
| NY-12 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+70.2 | D+61.0 | 0 | — | |
| NY-13 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+76.4 | D+67.0 | 0 | — | |
| NY-14 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+47.7 | D+38.4 | 0 | — | |
| NY-15 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+64.3 | D+55.1 | 0 | — | |
| NY-16 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+52.5 | D+43.2 | 0 | — | |
| NY-17 | Tossup | D 58% | D+1.9 | R+6.4 | 2 | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| NY-18 | Favors Dem | D 99% | D+23.8 | D+14.4 | 0 | — | |
| NY-19 | Favors Dem | D 87% | D+11.4 | D+2.2 | 0 | — | |
| NY-20 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+31.6 | D+22.2 | 0 | — | |
| NY-21 | Favors Rep | R 85% | R+10.7 | R+24.0 | 2 | Aug 8, 2026 | |
| NY-22 | Favors Dem | D 96% | D+18.5 | D+9.2 | 0 | — | |
| NY-23 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+22.3 | R+31.6 | 0 | — | |
| NY-24 | Favors Rep | R 98% | R+22.1 | R+31.4 | 0 | — | |
| NY-25 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+31.0 | D+21.6 | 0 | — | |
| NY-26 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+39.5 | D+30.4 | 0 | — | |
| OH-1 | Favors Dem | D 96% | D+18.4 | D+9.2 | 0 | — | |
| OH-2 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+38.0 | R+47.2 | 0 | — | |
| OH-3 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+50.6 | D+41.4 | 0 | — | |
| OH-4 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+27.7 | R+37.0 | 0 | — | |
| OH-5 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+25.7 | R+35.0 | 0 | — | |
| OH-6 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+24.2 | R+33.4 | 0 | — | |
| OH-7 | Favors Dem | D 68% | D+4.9 | R+15.0 | 5 | Aug 10, 2026 | |
| OH-8 | Favors Rep | R 94% | R+16.3 | R+25.6 | 0 | — | |
| OH-9 | Favors Dem | D 83% | D+9.8 | D+0.7 | 1 | Apr 20, 2026 | |
| OH-10 | Favors Rep | R 80% | R+8.7 | R+18.4 | 3 | Jul 23, 2026 | |
| OH-11 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+67.8 | D+58.7 | 0 | — | |
| OH-12 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+27.7 | R+37.0 | 0 | — | |
| OH-13 | Favors Dem | D 86% | D+11.4 | D+2.2 | 0 | — | |
| OH-14 | Favors Rep | R 96% | R+17.6 | R+26.8 | 0 | — | |
| OH-15 | Tossup | R 64% | R+3.8 | R+13.0 | 1 | Jun 25, 2026 | |
| OK-1 | Favors Rep | R 94% | R+16.7 | R+25.9 | 0 | — | |
| OK-2 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+43.6 | R+52.8 | 0 | — | |
| OK-3 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+25.6 | R+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| OK-4 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+27.4 | R+36.9 | 0 | — | |
| OK-5 | Favors Rep | R 88% | R+12.1 | R+21.4 | 0 | — | |
| OR-1 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+49.9 | D+40.6 | 0 | — | |
| OR-2 | Favors Rep | R 98% | R+21.9 | R+31.2 | 0 | — | |
| OR-3 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+51.9 | D+42.6 | 0 | — | |
| OR-4 | Favors Dem | D 95% | D+17.2 | D+7.8 | 0 | — | |
| OR-5 | Favors Dem | D 87% | D+12.0 | D+2.7 | 0 | — | |
| OR-6 | Favors Dem | D 94% | D+16.2 | D+6.8 | 0 | — | |
| PA-1 | Tossup | R 64% | R+3.7 | R+12.8 | 2 | Mar 22, 2026 | |
| PA-2 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+52.2 | D+42.9 | 0 | — | |
| PA-3 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+44.1 | D+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| PA-4 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+27.4 | D+18.2 | 0 | — | |
| PA-5 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+39.8 | D+30.6 | 0 | — | |
| PA-6 | Favors Dem | D 98% | D+21.7 | D+12.4 | 0 | — | |
| PA-7 | Favors Dem | D 78% | D+8.3 | R+1.0 | 1 | Jul 2, 2026 | |
| PA-8 | Favors Dem | D 77% | D+7.5 | R+1.6 | 3 | Jun 23, 2026 | |
| PA-9 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+31.7 | R+41.0 | 0 | — | |
| PA-10 | Favors Dem | D 78% | D+8.1 | R+1.2 | 3 | Apr 23, 2026 | |
| PA-11 | Favors Rep | R 95% | R+16.7 | R+25.8 | 0 | — | |
| PA-12 | Favors Dem | D 98% | D+22.0 | D+12.8 | 0 | — | |
| PA-13 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+39.3 | R+48.4 | 0 | — | |
| PA-14 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+23.9 | R+33.2 | 0 | — | |
| PA-15 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+33.7 | R+43.0 | 0 | — | |
| PA-16 | Favors Rep | R 96% | R+18.0 | R+27.2 | 0 | — | |
| PA-17 | Favors Dem | D 95% | D+17.1 | D+7.8 | 0 | — | |
| RI-1 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+40.3 | D+31.1 | 0 | — | |
| RI-2 | Favors Dem | D 99% | D+26.1 | D+16.8 | 0 | — | |
| SC-1 | Favors Rep | R 75% | R+6.9 | R+16.6 | 3 | Jul 22, 2026 | |
| SC-2 | Favors Rep | R 83% | R+10.1 | R+19.4 | 0 | — | |
| SC-3 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+37.1 | R+46.4 | 0 | — | |
| SC-4 | Favors Rep | R 90% | R+13.3 | R+22.6 | 0 | — | |
| SC-5 | Favors Rep | R 95% | R+17.8 | R+27.2 | 0 | — | |
| SC-6 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+32.1 | D+22.8 | 0 | — | |
| SC-7 | Favors Rep | R 96% | R+18.6 | R+30.0 | 1 | Jul 28, 2026 | |
| SD-1 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+34.8 | R+44.0 | 0 | — | |
| TN-1 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+50.0 | R+59.3 | 0 | — | |
| TN-2 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+29.2 | R+38.6 | 0 | — | |
| TN-3 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+28.7 | R+38.1 | 0 | — | |
| TN-4 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+34.0 | R+43.2 | 0 | — | |
| TN-5 | Favors Rep | R 78% | R+8.0 | R+17.4 | 1 | May 13, 2026 | |
| TN-6 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+26.8 | R+36.0 | 0 | — | |
| TN-7 | Favors Rep | R 88% | R+12.2 | R+21.5 | 0 | — | |
| TN-8 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+37.4 | R+46.7 | 0 | — | |
| TN-9 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+54.9 | D+45.6 | 0 | — | |
| TX-1 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+26.0 | R+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| TX-2 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+22.2 | R+31.4 | 0 | — | |
| TX-3 | Favors Rep | R 94% | R+15.9 | R+25.0 | 0 | — | |
| TX-4 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+27.6 | R+36.8 | 0 | — | |
| TX-5 | Favors Rep | R 97% | R+19.0 | R+28.2 | 0 | — | |
| TX-6 | Favors Rep | R 98% | R+22.2 | R+31.4 | 0 | — | |
| TX-7 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+31.9 | D+22.6 | 0 | — | |
| TX-8 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+27.3 | R+36.4 | 0 | — | |
| TX-9 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+44.2 | D+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| TX-10 | Favors Rep | R 98% | R+20.3 | R+29.6 | 0 | — | |
| TX-11 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+25.8 | R+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| TX-12 | Favors Rep | R 95% | R+17.7 | R+27.0 | 0 | — | |
| TX-13 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+25.7 | R+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| TX-14 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+28.2 | R+37.4 | 0 | — | |
| TX-15 | Tossup | R 64% | R+3.7 | R+14.2 | 3 | Jul 27, 2026 | |
| TX-16 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+28.2 | D+19.0 | 0 | — | |
| TX-17 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+23.3 | R+32.6 | 0 | — | |
| TX-18 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+47.9 | D+38.8 | 0 | — | |
| TX-19 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+25.8 | R+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| TX-20 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+44.1 | D+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| TX-21 | Favors Rep | R 94% | R+16.6 | R+25.8 | 0 | — | |
| TX-22 | Favors Rep | R 93% | R+15.1 | R+24.2 | 0 | — | |
| TX-23 | Favors Rep | R 93% | R+15.4 | R+24.6 | 1 | Mar 11, 2026 | |
| TX-24 | Favors Rep | R 86% | R+11.4 | R+20.6 | 0 | — | |
| TX-25 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+25.8 | R+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| TX-26 | Favors Rep | R 95% | R+17.2 | R+26.4 | 0 | — | |
| TX-27 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+22.7 | R+32.0 | 0 | — | |
| TX-28 | Favors Dem | D 91% | D+14.3 | D+5.6 | 2 | Jun 23, 2026 | |
| TX-29 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+39.6 | D+30.6 | 0 | — | |
| TX-30 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+44.1 | D+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| TX-31 | Favors Rep | R 97% | R+19.6 | R+28.8 | 0 | — | |
| TX-32 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+32.7 | D+23.5 | 0 | — | |
| TX-33 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+46.7 | D+37.6 | 0 | — | |
| TX-34 | Favors Dem | D 87% | D+11.6 | D+2.6 | 2 | Jun 16, 2026 | |
| TX-35 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+43.9 | D+34.8 | 0 | — | |
| TX-36 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+29.4 | R+38.8 | 0 | — | |
| TX-37 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+59.9 | D+50.6 | 0 | — | |
| TX-38 | Favors Rep | R 94% | R+16.3 | R+25.5 | 0 | — | |
| UT-1 | Favors Rep | R 98% | R+21.7 | R+31.0 | 0 | — | |
| UT-2 | Favors Rep | R 92% | R+14.5 | R+23.8 | 0 | — | |
| UT-3 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+23.5 | R+32.8 | 0 | — | |
| UT-4 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+24.1 | R+33.2 | 0 | — | |
| VA-1 | Tossup | R 63% | R+3.4 | R+12.8 | 1 | Aug 9, 2025 | |
| VA-2 | Favors Dem | D 69% | D+5.1 | R+3.8 | 1 | Jul 13, 2026 | |
| VA-3 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+49.4 | D+40.2 | 0 | — | |
| VA-4 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+44.5 | D+35.0 | 0 | — | |
| VA-5 | Favors Rep | R 71% | R+5.6 | R+15.0 | 0 | — | |
| VA-6 | Favors Rep | R 96% | R+19.0 | R+28.4 | 0 | — | |
| VA-7 | Favors Dem | D 87% | D+11.8 | D+2.6 | 0 | — | |
| VA-8 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+56.3 | D+47.0 | 0 | — | |
| VA-9 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+35.9 | R+45.2 | 0 | — | |
| VA-10 | Favors Dem | D 91% | D+13.9 | D+4.6 | 0 | — | |
| VA-11 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+43.2 | D+34.0 | 0 | — | |
| VT-1 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+42.0 | D+32.6 | 3 | Jun 23, 2026 | |
| WA-1 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+35.6 | D+26.4 | 0 | — | |
| WA-2 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+37.3 | D+28.0 | 0 | — | |
| WA-3 | Favors Dem | D 89% | D+12.5 | D+3.8 | 2 | Jul 10, 2026 | |
| WA-4 | Favors Rep | R 99% | R+25.7 | R+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| WA-5 | Favors Rep | R 88% | R+12.3 | R+21.4 | 3 | May 25, 2026 | |
| WA-6 | Favors Dem | D 99% | D+23.0 | D+13.6 | 0 | — | |
| WA-7 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+77.8 | D+68.4 | 0 | — | |
| WA-8 | Favors Dem | D 95% | D+17.5 | D+8.2 | 0 | — | |
| WA-9 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+44.2 | D+35.0 est. | 0 | — | |
| WA-10 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+26.8 | D+17.4 | 0 | — | |
| WI-1 | Tossup | R 53% | R+0.9 | R+10.2 | 2 | Aug 9, 2026 | |
| WI-2 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+49.4 | D+40.2 | 0 | — | |
| WI-3 | Favors Dem | D 73% | D+6.3 | R+2.8 | 4 | Jun 25, 2026 | |
| WI-4 | Favors Dem | D 100% | D+61.8 | D+52.5 | 0 | — | |
| WI-5 | Favors Rep | R 97% | R+19.8 | R+29.0 | 0 | — | |
| WI-6 | Favors Rep | R 90% | R+13.3 | R+22.6 | 3 | May 28, 2026 | |
| WI-7 | Favors Rep | R 96% | R+18.0 | R+27.2 | 0 | — | |
| WI-8 | Favors Rep | R 70% | R+5.5 | R+14.6 | 0 | — | |
| WV-1 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+32.9 | R+42.2 | 0 | — | |
| WV-2 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+32.3 | R+41.6 | 0 | — | |
| WY-1 | Favors Rep | R 100% | R+38.4 | R+47.6 | 0 | — |