NV-2
Republicans are favored, winning in 99 in 100 simulations.
Forecast detail
as of Aug 17, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
Rating
Favors Rep
Win probability
R 99%
Estimated margin
R+24.5
5th–95th interval
R+41.7 to R+7.8
Win probability over time
Dem win probability Rep win probability Tossup band
Polls
Dem-leaning poll Rep-leaning poll current average: D+2.0
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Results | Margin | House adj. | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wedgewood Polls | Jul 9–Jul 12, 2026 | 350 lv | Dem 48.0% Rep 46.0% | D+2.0 | — | Source |
Dispatches about this race
No dispatches about this race yet.