OH-9
Democrats are favored, winning in 83 in 100 simulations.
Forecast detail
as of Aug 17, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
Rating
Favors Dem
Win probability
D 83%
Estimated margin
D+9.9
5th–95th interval
R+7.4 to D+27.0
Win probability over time
Dem win probability Rep win probability Tossup band
Polls
Dem-leaning poll Rep-leaning poll current average: R+1.3
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Results | Margin | House adj. | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McLaughlin & Associates | Apr 18–Apr 20, 2026 | 400 lv | Rep 47.0% Dem 43.0% | R+4.0 | R+1.3 R+2.7 lean removed | Source |
Dispatches about this race
No dispatches about this race yet.