PA-7
Democrats are favored, winning in 78 in 100 simulations.
Forecast detail
as of Aug 17, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
Rating
Favors Dem
Win probability
D 78%
Estimated margin
D+8.2
5th–95th interval
R+8.8 to D+25.4
Win probability over time
Dem win probability Rep win probability Tossup band
Polls
Dem-leaning poll Rep-leaning poll current average: D+4.0
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Results | Margin | House adj. | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBAO | Jun 29–Jul 2, 2026 | 550 lv | Dem 47.0% Rep 43.0% | D+4.0 | — | Source |
Dispatches about this race
No dispatches about this race yet.