Alabama Senate
- Everett Wess (Dem)
- Barry Moore (Rep)
Republicans are favored, winning in 100 in 100 simulations.
Forecast detail
as of Aug 17, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
Rating
Favors Rep
Win probability
R 100%
Estimated margin
R+22.4
5th–95th interval
R+33.6 to R+11.4
Win probability over time
Dem win probability Rep win probability Tossup band
Polls
Dem-leaning poll Rep-leaning poll current average: R+15.0
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Results | Margin | House adj. | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| yes. every kid. | Jul 8–Jul 11, 2026 | 601 lv | Barry Moore 47.0% Everett Wess 32.0% | R+15.0 | — | Source |
Dispatches about this race
No dispatches about this race yet.